UMBC
W-L: ( 6- 5) PR = 81.6650Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Delaware State Northeast ( 0-12, 59.2) 20- 2 213 A Bucknell Patriot ( 7- 4, 85.1) 10-18 218 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-11, 71.7) 21- 3 225 H Youngstown State MAC ( 2-10, 72.6) 14- 5 228 H Wagner Northeast ( 4- 7, 74.2) 12- 5 304 A Delaware Atlantic Sun ( 8- 4, 87.5) 8-16 307 A American Patriot ( 2-10, 77.4) 15- 5 314 H Binghamton America East ( 5- 7, 80.5) 12- 7 320 A Vermont America East ( 6- 6, 82.4) 8-12 325 N William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 5, 80.9) 10-12 404 H Albany America East ( 9- 4, 85.0) 9-14 411 A Massachusetts-Lowell America East ( 4- 8, 78.9) 418 A Bryant America East ( 8- 5, 81.9) 425 H New Hampshire America East ( 4- 8, 75.8)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 H Delaware State 20- 2 18 24 0.00
213 A Bucknell 10-18 -8 -5 - -3.35
218 A La Salle 21- 3 18 9 ++ 5.29
225 H Youngstown State 14- 5 9 10 -1.28
228 H Wagner 12- 5 7 9 -1.73
304 A Delaware 8-16 -8 -7 -0.93
307 A American 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.97
314 H Binghamton 12- 7 5 2 + 2.61
320 A Vermont 8-12 -4 -2 - -2.00
325 N William & Mary 10-12 -2 1 - -2.76
404 H Albany 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Bucknell 10-18 -8 -5 - -3.35 320 A Vermont 8-12 -4 -2 - -2.00 325 N William & Mary 10-12 -2 1 - -2.76 404 H Albany 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A American 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.97 218 A La Salle 21- 3 18 9 ++ 5.29 314 H Binghamton 12- 7 5 2 + 2.61 |
UMBC Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Albany | Albany | Albany | ||
| American | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Arizona State | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona State | |
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Army | |
| Austin Peay | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Binghamton | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boston College | |
| Boston University | Boston University | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boston University | |
| Brown | Brown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brown | |
| Bryant | Bryant | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bryant | |
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Butler | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Campbell | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Canisius | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Central Connecticut | UMBC | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | UMBC | |
| Central Michigan | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Coastal Carolina | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Colgate | Colgate | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Colgate | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Columbia | Columbia | Columbia | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Connecticut | |
| Cornell | Cornell | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Dartmouth | |
| Davidson | Davidson | Davidson | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Delaware State | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | UMBC | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Drexel | Drexel | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Drexel | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Eastern Michigan | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Elon | Elon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Elon | |
| Fairfield | Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Florida State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Furman | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Gardner Webb | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| George Mason | UMBC | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | UMBC | |
| George Washington | UMBC | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | UMBC | |
| Georgetown | Georgetown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Georgetown | |
| Harvard | Harvard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Harvard | |
| High Point | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Hofstra | Hofstra | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hofstra | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Holy Cross | |
| Howard (DC) | UMBC | UMBC 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Iona | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jacksonville | |
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | UMBC | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | UMBC | |
| Kent State | UMBC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UMBC | |
| La Salle | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Lafayette | UMBC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UMBC | |
| Le Moyne | UMBC | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | UMBC | |
| Lehigh | UMBC | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | UMBC | |
| Liberty | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Lindenwood | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| LIU | UMBC | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | UMBC | |
| Longwood | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loyola (MD) | |
| Manhattan | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Marist | UMBC | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | UMBC | |
| Marquette | Marquette | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Marquette | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Massachusetts | |
| Massachusetts-Lowell | UMBC | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | UMBC | |
| Mercer | Mercer | Mercer | ||
| Mercyhurst | UMBC | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Merrimack | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | UMBC | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | UMBC | |
| Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Hampshire | UMBC | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | UMBC | |
| New Haven | UMBC | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Niagara | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Old Dominion | UMBC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UMBC | |
| Oregon | Oregon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Pittsburgh | |
| Presbyterian | UMBC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UMBC | |
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Quinnipiac | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Radford | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Rhode Island | UMBC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UMBC | |
| Richmond | Richmond | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Richmond | |
| Rider | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Robert Morris | UMBC | UMBC 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| San Diego State | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Siena | UMBC | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | UMBC | |
| South Florida | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Southern California | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| St Bonaventure | St Bonaventure | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St Bonaventure | |
| St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | St Josephs (PA) | |
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Stetson | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Stonehill | UMBC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UMBC | |
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Syracuse | |
| Temple | Temple | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Temple | |
| Towson | Towson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Towson | |
| UC Davis | UC Davis | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UC Davis | |
| UNC-Charlotte | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| VCU | VCU | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | VCU | |
| Vermont | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Villanova | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Wagner | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| William & Mary | William & Mary | William & Mary | ||
| Winthrop | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Wofford | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Xavier | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Yale | Yale | Yale | ||
| Youngstown State | UMBC | UMBC |
PowerWise = 60
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Delaware State ( 0-12, 59.2) 20- 2 -40.71 1.00 -1.22 1.13 -0.49
0 A Bucknell ( 7- 4, 85.1) 10-18 -14.80 25.91 1.22 1.13 -7.69
0 A La Salle ( 3-11, 71.7) 21- 3 -28.16 12.55 1.22 1.13 31.16
0 H Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 72.6) 14- 5 -27.29 13.41 -1.22 1.13 27.61
0 H Wagner ( 4- 7, 74.2) 12- 5 -25.75 14.96 -1.22 1.13 31.11
0 A Delaware ( 8- 4, 87.5) 8-16 -12.38 28.33 1.22 1.13 -6.32
0 A American ( 2-10, 77.4) 15- 5 -22.48 18.23 1.22 1.13 44.02
0 H Binghamton ( 5- 7, 80.5) 12- 7 -19.41 21.30 -1.22 1.13 45.46
0 A Vermont ( 6- 6, 82.4) 8-12 -17.45 23.25 1.22 1.13 -9.19
0 N William & Mary ( 7- 5, 80.9) 10-12 -18.99 21.71 -0.00 1.13 -10.75
0 H Albany ( 9- 4, 85.0) 9-14 -14.85 25.85 -1.22 1.13 -9.10
------
135.83
|
winning pts = 178.8632 losing points = -43.0371
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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